Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.

  • Am Vor 2 Tage

    The Game TheoristsThe Game Theorists

    Dauer: 23:30

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    There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of DE-film centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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    #Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
    More THEORIES:
    FNAF, The FINAL Timeline ►► bit.ly/2MlHYFe
    FNAF, The Monster We MISSED! ►► de-film.com/v-video-_ygN8HLCaJg.html
    FNAF This Theory Changes Everything ► bit.ly/2JUQUn6
    FNAF, You Were Meant To Lose ► de-film.com/v-video-7bn8hM9k0b0.html
    FNAF 6, No More Secrets ► bit.ly/2LVCq4u
    Credits:
    Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
    Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
    Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
    Sound Editor: Yosi Berman

Dragon2008Gamer
Dragon2008Gamer

Not Minecraft one dood onesix Minecraft one dood sixteen!

Vor 27 Minuten
Reaper Z
Reaper Z

So many people are saying: "Oh but it's IMPOSSIBLE to prove that dream 100% cheated! And thus I believe that he didn't!" In the comment section, as if this is the conclusion that MatPat concluded. Dude, with that kind of argument, people can say "I got struck by lightning 100x in a row and survived, and since you can't 100% proove that I cheated, it clearly means that I didn't". It's heavily flawed logic, it's really just objectively wrong.

Vor 29 Minuten
Nightcloud36
Nightcloud36

I gotta admit, I absolutely love Dream and I can admit that he probably did cheat though I nervous about saying I like him because everyone is just going to say I'm a Dream stan. I'm not, I like him for everything else he does that doesn't correspond with his speed runs. It's messed up that he didn't admit to cheating if he did (which is quite likely) but everyone has done at least one stupid thing and not admitted to it. Why can't we appreciate the other things he does instead like the SMP? I'm just not going to watch his speed runs but I'll watch his other things. Dream is a great youtuber and he shouldn't be defined by this flaw– Just my thoughts, everyone is entitled to their own opinions! ^^

Vor 32 Minuten
HhsduOP
HhsduOP

Matpat got 8th on trending noice

Vor 33 Minuten
bruh
bruh

My kemistry teacher is really good

Vor 34 Minuten
Nathan Le
Nathan Le

So did dream cheat ?

Vor 35 Minuten
Danielle Scorgie
Danielle Scorgie

If people want to run the category, they can. "This category is bad." is a weird conclusion.

Vor 36 Minuten
Itsuki Cheng
Itsuki Cheng

If everyone had the same seed to do during the same tournament it would be good that’s what Rubik’s cube tournaments do

Vor 38 Minuten
Nightmare
Nightmare

I honestly don’t care if he cheated or not. I’m sick of the drama. It’s so annoying.

Vor 38 Minuten
MUTANT15
MUTANT15

I have a question that still in my head, what about the top three or five players that are better then dreams speedrun how come no one talks about them and they only blame dream and even analyze if his speedrun is not cheating instead of the top 1 player? Edit: hope you can answer this matpat if not who will, Im not saying the top players are cheating, im saying why they where never talked about.

Vor 40 Minuten
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

they are not talked about becuse they did not cheat, dream was not talked about (in seans of speadrunning) becuse he did not cheat

Vor 37 Minuten
gami boss
gami boss

Hey matpat what is Multy player in minecraft? Is it the time before the wither or is it the future. A future where Steve dint fight the ender dragon and make a family?

Vor 41 Minute
Cody Crew
Cody Crew

Flipping a coin ten times and getting 7+ heads

Vor 41 Minute
InstantBrainwave
InstantBrainwave

Thanks for creating such great video and they are amazing and wonderful. I love the brainwave music and hope more people can enjoy it too.

Vor 43 Minuten
tina and Elly
tina and Elly

So post teen mean and adopt me yes Roblox adopt me Roblox is a game but matpat keeps talking about everything else ;-;

Vor 43 Minuten
LodanSD
LodanSD

If you look at Speedruns for Zelda Wind Waker, you would notice that people have figured out how to assess certain values in order to guarantee a specific result for Rupee Drops, maybe he's figured out the proper dance to bend NPCs to his will

Vor 45 Minuten
Zi Xiong
Zi Xiong

did dream cheat? mat: well let's talk about the purpose and meaning of speedrunning.

Vor 46 Minuten
Anthony Valencia
Anthony Valencia

*roasts yt trending tab* *is #2 on yt trending tab*

Vor 48 Minuten
Valmerix
Valmerix

might wanna change ur picture

Vor 47 Minuten
ReflexivoArco
ReflexivoArco

Who say ,, Minecraft one point one six'' instead ,,Minecraft one sixteen''?

Vor 48 Minuten
BeepDuck
BeepDuck

idk about the quiz thing, because in the first one there only needs to be 2 abnormalities (outside of expected results) whereas in the second there needs to be 10, but it is a lot less likely to get perfect normalities in the second one because it is one number out of 100 possibilities. This is probably all wrong cos i know nothing about probability but i’m just writing my thought process.

Vor 48 Minuten
BeepDuck
BeepDuck

i was almost right

Vor 47 Minuten
ichi1082
ichi1082

I'm so sorry I have to say it like that but your take towards the end is the worst you could possibly have. The category exists because the community wants it to exist, people run it. No one is forcing Dream to run a category he perceives as broken and instead of cheating he could have just chosen to, uhm, I don't know.. just not run it?

Vor 50 Minuten
Ivy Oh
Ivy Oh

Dream Minecraft; will this finally be the milkable topic to replace the endless stream of fnaf game theory videos? Lol probably not.

Vor 50 Minuten
Brown Magic
Brown Magic

So what i got from this is at the end of the day math and statistics can really only give a "its very unlikely, but not impossible" type of answer to things

Vor 51 Minute
MelecieDiancie
MelecieDiancie

what i came for: info that may make dream innocent what i learned: celeste room randomizer should be a speedrun

Vor 55 Minuten
MelecieDiancie
MelecieDiancie

@levi Ackerman i do know that, i've seen the responses of the mod team, dream, ant, karl, mfb, and this and reasons why dream cheated heavily outweigh the counterresponses. i'm just here to see if there would be arguments for dream and any counterresponses to those, as i like to take both sides' arguments

Vor 36 Minuten
levi Ackerman
levi Ackerman

Dream cheated face it the guy dream hired told that the drop rates were modified intentionally​ or unintentionally

Vor 53 Minuten
Thanos
Thanos

Analysis but the ysis is silent

Vor 56 Minuten
Honey_ tea
Honey_ tea

18:52 who else thought that the blue side is bigger then the red side???

Vor 57 Minuten
Johann Alyosha Van Tassel
Johann Alyosha Van Tassel

everyone: wants to know if dream cheated matpat: *heres a document preparation software called Latex*

Vor 57 Minuten
Ian Michael
Ian Michael

23:30 seconds to not answer the question and say Minecraft shouldn’t have a record board for speed running. Yes the record board made him cheat

Vor Stunde
Cryptic Corgi
Cryptic Corgi

8:20 *_It is the first option is more likely._* Being correct _7 out of 10_ times is *7/10.* But _60 out of 100_ is *6/10.*

Vor Stunde
ichigo kurosaki
ichigo kurosaki

Listen the king's sacrifice is the best chess move in the history of humanity No one care about dream cheating

Vor Stunde
Jack Of Astora
Jack Of Astora

Actual answer: Yes The answer we got: And that’s why tf2 is a bad game. Wait what video is this again?

Vor Stunde
Arbiter
Arbiter

OI JUST TELL ME IF HE DID OR NOT STOP TRYING TO WASTE MY TIME GOD

Vor Stunde
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW
Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

yes dream cheated

Vor 34 Minuten
Crypter Coder
Crypter Coder

Matpat could you do a video about the scps

Vor Stunde
Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000
Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000

Okay random statement but robert do be sounding like Saiki K and kyo ifykyk

Vor Stunde
Khawar Parvez
Khawar Parvez

So did he cheat?

Vor Stunde
Elliot Manley
Elliot Manley

Jewelry me ñø

Vor Stunde
Jaguario
Jaguario

as a speedrunner myself, i have no problem with a speedrun being based around luck. Many games have to be speedrun that way and still are. Peoplespeedrun those games because they enjoy it and there's no point contesting the way that games are speedrun if people enjoy it. but that competitive speedrunning thing would be really cool

Vor Stunde
Jose Pio
Jose Pio

how did he predict it would go to the YouTube trending tab he is a wizard

Vor Stunde
Honey_ tea
Honey_ tea

8:20 ide say the first option becouse when you flip a coin 10 times to get heads in 7 times is like flipping a coin 100 times to get 70 heads there is no differences in there the only difference is that the second option is more specific

Vor Stunde
stephane pasquer
stephane pasquer

hellsbells

Vor Stunde
Orange Sl1me
Orange Sl1me

My answer for the question around 8:30 is that neither of them are more likely, their both 50/50 because no matter how many times you flip a coin the outcome come will always be either heads or tails. Thank you for listening to my ted talk. Edit: I just realised what the question was......

Vor Stunde
Sean French
Sean French

60 heads

Vor Stunde
Callan Wesson
Callan Wesson

69

Vor Stunde
Razgy Mic
Razgy Mic

The amount of work in this video is insane

Vor Stunde
DS .V
DS .V

Mr beast is buying the whole store in the background lol

Vor Stunde
jose Homshaw
jose Homshaw

LOL HE WAS RIGHT WHEN HE SAID IT WAS GONNA GET ON THE TREDDING TAB

Vor Stunde
DERPY DUDE
DERPY DUDE

9:55 #4 on trending *face palms*

Vor Stunde
ehehehrhehr no
ehehehrhehr no

matpat makes fun of yt trending page matpat ends up on trending

Vor Stunde
Natlibuz
Natlibuz

https://www.youtube.com/c/NatlibuzMedia

Vor Stunde
lil zerkso
lil zerkso

All your videos makes me think hard and am intrigued

Vor Stunde
MainZ
MainZ

This video is on the YouTube trending tab 😂

Vor Stunde
InfoBlues
InfoBlues

I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

Vor Stunde
31-Rishit Jain
31-Rishit Jain

I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

Vor Stunde
Dosant
Dosant

This is your most lazy video yet Mat, you literally didnt add anything or answer the question in YOUR TITLE OF THE VIDEO. Disappointing.

Vor Stunde
Ragib Nihal Tonmoy
Ragib Nihal Tonmoy

https://www.youtube.com/channel/UC3GXVaGj8quYJNglPoDHKdw

Vor Stunde
ZeGamerWolf
ZeGamerWolf

Where is the last Petscop theory???????

Vor Stunde
Eagle Power
Eagle Power

so dream is just some luck god, okay.

Vor Stunde
DonutLover Gaming
DonutLover Gaming

I would like my own minecraft speedrunner monkey

Vor Stunde
Clarissa M
Clarissa M

I love the conclusion.

Vor Stunde
CandyPop
CandyPop

My question is WHY would they make speedrunning a big competition? Like it’s just gonna start drama (for example: the Dream drama) AND who cares! Speedrunning should be made for fun! Not something that should be taken very seriously! It’s like a middle school gym sport fight of “OH BRUHHH WE COULD HAVE WON!!!” “BRUHHH THEY CHEATED” “BRUHHH YOU SUCK” Like- Dudes- Chill- Please-

Vor Stunde
CandyPop
CandyPop

@yunus ahmet yılmaz ohhh! Oh nonononono I was talking to the people who make speedrunning a big competitive thing like middle schoolers in gym fighting. My apologies, misread that. Speedrunning actually looks fun to do! It’s just I don’t like that people would make such a big deal over it (And cause drama) (Also it’s 6:55 am for me and I haven’t slept AT ALL yea again my apologies)

Vor 31 Minute
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz

@CandyPop you didn't just say what you tought about speedrunnig you spat on people who speedrun because your fetus head can't understand their motivations

Vor 41 Minute
CandyPop
CandyPop

@yunus ahmet yılmaz wow can I not say what I just think about the speedrunning situation? Wow I’m so hurt •- •

Vor 49 Minuten
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz

Why would they make marathon competitive either its like just swim for fun no need for competitive smh.... This is how you sound

Vor Stunde
LoZTwilight
LoZTwilight

Well that was an utter waste of time, how did this get 238k likes. it's beating around the bush for 75% of the video..

Vor Stunde
Don RUBIX
Don RUBIX

Buuuh Dream 🤮🤮 im 1 mllion times better than him at Minecraft ‼️🤌

Vor Stunde
Frack YT
Frack YT

Vor Stunde
TheHockyeBox
TheHockyeBox

I know this is a pointless detail but you should express percent numbers as rounded up and not just show the first two decimal places, the probability of getting >51% heads with 10000 tosses is sum k=0 to 4900 (10000 choose 5100+k) * 2^(-10000) = 0.0232928 otherwise good video

Vor Stunde
• Violet Dumplings •
• Violet Dumplings •

It really did get on the YouTube trending tab- damn.

Vor Stunde
Patricks
Patricks

do a genshin impact theory

Vor Stunde
Clint McGill
Clint McGill

I can hear one of my cs professors saving "it's not pronounced the same as latex the material..."

Vor Stunde
Queen Pendragon
Queen Pendragon

Fantastic editing as usual! Lol also thanks for the math lesson, Mat, I don't know that I needed it or that it'll stick, but for the moment I feel smarter!

Vor Stunde
Dorian Dias
Dorian Dias

Lol it did end up on the YouTube trending page

Vor Stunde
Jatin sehrawat
Jatin sehrawat

the thing that there were chances of it being in 1 in a 7.5 trillion but it was still feasible... and thats maths you can't connect everything with statics 7.5 trillion is just a small number when you see it in terms of how many seed are possible.. if there are broken seed possible in quadrillions and people still found them..that conditon of ender pearls and blaze rods is feasible... conclusion on my terms: even if it was 1 in a 7.5 trillion it was feasible and running 7.5 trillion simulations don't actually mean that this will happen in those 7.5 trillion because we dont have a exaact number to count from which these possibilities are possible... they made him suspect and run numbers on him... and their evidence didn't have a concrete truth it was just mere possibilities.. they didn't searched his minecraft coda... and on based on possibilities it can't be verified that he cheated.. i mean my existence in 1 in 8.9 billion but i still exist :D.. take it like that and that is for every single of person on this planet so 8.9 billion powered by 8.9 billion thats a quite large number and we still exist as a indvidual... simple high school maths.. i don't know if he cheated or not but idk it dont seem like he did

Vor Stunde
yunus ahmet yılmaz
yunus ahmet yılmaz

Yo stop copy pasting this on random videos. It's honestly pathetic especially considering how stupid this comment is You are sooo misinformed it isnt even funny. His chances aren't 1 in 7.5 trillion it is 1 in 20 sextillion. 1 in 7.5 trillion is the chances of Amy speedrunner ever getting as lucky as dream after accounting for biases. Secondly the chances of you being here being 8.6 billion is meaningless because the reason that number is high is completely different from this. For example winning the lottery is a very low chance but no matter what someone will win the lottery. The 8.6 billion is the nearly same as this.

Vor Stunde
Crazycuko187
Crazycuko187

He means yes... I think..

Vor Stunde
{•ShadøwZ•}
{•ShadøwZ•}

Mat:Math- Me:EWWW- *HISS* GO AWAY MATH- AAAAAA-

Vor Stunde
Just some steering wheel
Just some steering wheel

Did dream cheat? Yes Now you don't have to watch the video which doesn't actually give you the answer

Vor Stunde
Leon Almond
Leon Almond

No he didn’t there ya go

Vor Stunde
Magnogen
Magnogen

LATEX RULES! YEAHHH

Vor Stunde
tp .y.
tp .y.

please do a game theory episode on omori!

Vor Stunde
Berislav Furač
Berislav Furač

yes.

Vor Stunde
xeniabruh
xeniabruh

PLSSSS THIS IS #2 ON TRENDING AHAHAHA

Vor Stunde
Ealvarez Gaming
Ealvarez Gaming

Dude why you gotta clickbait like that?

Vor Stunde
Travis Sadler
Travis Sadler

South African Lotto ticket :O

Vor Stunde
Shrt Mato_99
Shrt Mato_99

Number 1 trending lmao

Vor Stunde
Michael E
Michael E

I mean 7

Vor Stunde
username not found
username not found

Don’t waste your time he doesn’t answer the question

Vor Stunde
Michael E
Michael E

I meant to say 70

Vor Stunde
G M P
G M P

Imagine spitting on an entire community just to try save the image of one individual. How much did Dream pay?

Vor Stunde
What A Weirdo
What A Weirdo

@G M P fair enough tbh, also I stg I'm not a stan

Vor 29 Minuten
G M P
G M P

@What A Weirdo I agree that I said the pay part just for the purposes of spicing up the comment

Vor 32 Minuten
What A Weirdo
What A Weirdo

Imagine not looking at odds, I mean, hes just trying to explain his theory. Maybe he shouldn't have shat on speed running, but you really think that dream played him to say ehh, why speedrun?

Vor 42 Minuten
Yuki Mizuki
Yuki Mizuki

No offense, mediocre content, overly edited, poorly made, click baited and you barely went over anything

Vor Stunde
JamesPlayz
JamesPlayz

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Ttj_4PaiVGI&t=157s

Vor Stunde
Simon Tracer
Simon Tracer

It's ironic that with a smaller amount of times tried the numbers seem to go more probable. And I honestly missed the point if he said definitive yes he did cheat or no he did not. It seems pretty much like he said dreams luck could have been just a happenstance that was misunderstood and overreacted to. But seriously how many of those speed runs or how many Potter trades have people actually witnessed besides dreams. How lucky is as when you honestly push the numbers up on the barter trades you are guaranteed to get Pearl at some point and to the game it doesn't matter when that point is so it could just as much give you something good or not. Fun fact in Mario Bros speed run the time that you end the course on could activate a very specific end-of-level fireworks display or if you were slightly slower you would not activate that fireworks and move ahead faster. That is a built-in highly unrecognizable jump in speed unless you're looking for it.

Vor Stunde
Happy Thoughts
Happy Thoughts

Milking this aren't you. We need less of people like you around

Vor Stunde
DJ Ling
DJ Ling

Imma be honest, cheater or not, IT'S SIMPLE ENTERTAINMENT.

Vor Stunde
SniffersMc
SniffersMc

Finally, knowledge of latex is usefull for something other than writing a CV

Vor Stunde
Josh Taylor
Josh Taylor

he really do be milkin it

Vor Stunde
Billy 1
Billy 1

I think we all need to go outside

Vor Stunde
CatGoneMad!
CatGoneMad!

Lol it ended up on 4 trending

Vor Stunde
Sceonaid Dover
Sceonaid Dover

Click bait

Vor Stunde
Robotboy 64x
Robotboy 64x

Misleading, but clickbait? Ehhhh.... I dunno.

Vor Stunde
firenox GD
firenox GD

No

Vor Stunde
Masterblader158
Masterblader158

Given YouTube sets what's trending, or at least moderates it, it's no surprise that a video that mocks being on it got put on it. Good as it may force the part 2 where he actually answers the question... But Matpat has left some part 2's on the burner for years.

Vor Stunde
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti

I got 11 ender pearls and i gave it 1 gold but 🍑 i beleave you

Vor Stunde
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti

@levi Ackerman idk but it happened

Vor 30 Minuten
levi Ackerman
levi Ackerman

stop lying an 2-4 enderpearl can only be obtained in one bartering

Vor 47 Minuten
Bruno Blake
Bruno Blake

it actually is on the trending page lol

Vor Stunde
Umar Amin lone BBA-29
Umar Amin lone BBA-29

Son you know nothing about regression

Vor Stunde
Degee Paul Sericon
Degee Paul Sericon

The theorist is not real :0

Vor Stunde
allison moya
allison moya

Bed recognize desperate explain stretch vehicle fifteen everyone repair.

Vor Stunde

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